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Festival season stock planning for FMCG distributors: before, during and after Deepavali or Pongal

How much to stock before Deepavali or Pongal, how to keep credit under control in the rush, and how to avoid the returns and expiry that pile up in the weeks after.

29 September 2026 · 7 min read

Short answer

Plan from last year’s same weeks, not last month. Order in two or three lots, not one. Fix credit limits before the rush. Order festival and gift packs only to sell out. And plan the weeks after the festival, when unpaid bills, returns and expiry arrive.

Festival weeks are the best weeks of a distributor’s year and the most dangerous. Sales jump, shops stock up on credit, the company pushes festival packs, and everyone is too busy to count. The trouble usually shows up a month later: money stuck with shops, gift packs nobody wants, and stock close to expiry.

  • 4 weeks before110
  • 2 weeks before150
  • Festival week190
  • 1 week after70
  • Normal week100
An example of weekly sales around a festival, with a normal week as 100. The dip after is as real as the peak. Illustrative figures; use your own.

1. Plan from last year’s same weeks

Last month tells you nothing about festival week. Take the same weeks from last year, product by product, and adjust for how your business has grown since (new shops, new routes, a new brand). If you did not keep last year’s numbers, start keeping them this year: next year’s plan depends on it.

2. Order in two or three lots

Don’t take the whole season’s stock in one order. Take a first lot four to six weeks before, look at what actually moved, and adjust the second and third lots. It costs a little more effort and saves you from a godown full of the wrong products.

3. Treat festival and gift packs differently

Gift packs and special festival packs are the riskiest stock you will hold, because they stop selling the day the festival ends. Order them only in the quantity you are sure to sell. If the company pushes more, ask for a written return or exchange agreement before you accept them. See when the company sends more than you can sell.

4. Fix credit before the rush

Shops ask for more credit when they stock up for the festival, and a salesman in a hurry will say yes. Decide each shop’s limit before the season, and hold to it during the rush. Plan collections for the weeks after, when shops have sold through. Our guide on tracking shop credit shows how.

5. Plan the vans, not just the godown

More stock is no use if it cannot reach shops. Plan extra van days or an extra van for the peak weeks, load from the front of the godown (oldest stock first), and count each van back in every evening. The busiest days are when counting gets skipped, so don’t skip it.

6. Plan the weeks after the festival

  1. 6 weeks before

    last year's numbers, first lot

  2. 3 weeks before

    check what moved, second lot

  3. Festival week

    vans, credit limits, daily close

  4. 2 weeks after

    collect, return, clear slow stock

A festival season, planned from start to finish.

After the peak, collect the festival credit first, return or exchange what the company agreed to take back, and clear slow stock before it expires. See finding the stock that is stuck.

How Mulberry Sales helps

Every bill is recorded as it is made, so last year’s same weeks are one report away, by product, shop and salesman (Growth plan and up). Stock in the godown and on every van is kept up to date, and each van is counted back in at night. Credit limits are checked on the salesman’s phone and on our server, so the festival rush cannot quietly push a shop past its limit. Stock alerts warn you before dated stock expires and list what has stopped selling (Business plan). An extra van for the season is a flat monthly add-on, not a new plan. See FMCG distribution software.

Questions people ask

How much extra stock should a distributor keep for Deepavali?

Start from what you sold in the same weeks last year, product by product, and adjust for how your business has grown since. Order it in two or three lots rather than all at once, so you can follow what is actually selling.

When should a distributor order festival stock?

Place the first lot about four to six weeks before the festival and the last about a week before, based on how the first lots are selling. Festival and gift packs should be ordered only in the quantity you are sure to sell before the festival ends.

How do you control credit during the festival rush?

Set each shop's credit limit before the rush and hold to it during the festival. Shops ask for more credit when they stock up, and money given out in those weeks is the hardest to collect afterwards.

Found this problem in your business?

Don't estimate it. Run one van on Mulberry Sales for 14 days with your own shops, products and salesman, and measure it. One price covers your whole business, not each salesman.

How Mulberry handles it: FMCG distribution software →